Alabama Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Alabama Senate rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model has Barry Moore narrowly ahead of Jared Hudson, 55% to 38% in a 6-candidate field. Barry Moore leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Barry Moore — 55%
2. Jared Hudson — 38%
3. Steve Marshall — 3%
4. Rodney Walker — 2%
5. Dale Deas Jr. — 2%
6. Seth Burton — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model