Alabama Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Alabama Senate dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model sees a close race: Dakarai Larriett edges Kyle Sweetser, 42% to 40% in a 4-candidate field. Kyle Sweetser leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dakarai Larriett — 42%
- Kyle Sweetser — 40%
- Everett Wess — 9%
- Mark Wheeler II — 8%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.