Alabama 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Alabama 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Maurice Mercer the clear favorite at 86%, ahead of Ashtyn Kennedy at 6% in a 4-candidate field. Maurice Mercer leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Maurice Mercer — 86%
- Ashtyn Kennedy — 6%
- Keith Pilkington — 4%
- Jacob Bouma-Sims — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.