Alabama 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Alabama 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model sees a close race: Keith Pilkington edges Jacob Bouma-Sims, 25% to 25% in a 4-candidate field. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Keith Pilkington — 25%
  2. Jacob Bouma-Sims — 25%
  3. Ashtyn Kennedy — 25%
  4. Maurice Mercer — 25%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model