Alabama 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Alabama 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model favors Ashtyn Kennedy at 55%, ahead of Maurice Mercer at 28% in a 4-candidate field. Ashtyn Kennedy leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Ashtyn Kennedy — 55%
2. Maurice Mercer — 28%
3. Keith Pilkington — 9%
4. Jacob Bouma-Sims — 9%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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