Alabama 2nd — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Alabama 2nd — House rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Rhett Marques the clear favorite at 81%, ahead of Joshua McKee at 5% in a 6-candidate field. Rhett Marques leads the field in reported fundraising and Hampton Harris has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Rhett Marques — 81%
  2. Joshua McKee — 5%
  3. Hampton Harris — 4%
  4. James Richardson — 3%
  5. Christian Horn — 3%
  6. David Matthews — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model