Alabama 1st — House 2026 General Election

The Alabama 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Rhett Marques the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Tom Holmes at 0%. Rhett Marques leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Rhett Marques — 100%
  2. Tom Holmes — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model