Alabama 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Alabama 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Clyde Jones the heavy favorite at 94%, with Tom Holmes at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Clyde Jones leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Clyde Jones — 94%
- Tom Holmes — 3%
- Kimberly Thomas — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.