Alabama 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Alabama 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Clyde Jones the heavy favorite at 93%, with Tom Holmes at 4% in a 3-candidate field. Clyde Jones leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Clyde Jones — 93%
- Tom Holmes — 4%
- Kimberly Thomas — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.