Alaska Senate 2026 General Election
The Alaska Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Dan Sullivan at 69%, ahead of Democrat Mary Peltola at 31% in a 4-candidate field. Dan Sullivan is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Mary Peltola has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dan Sullivan (incumbent) — 69%
- Mary Peltola — 31%
- Sid Hill — 0%
- Richard Grayson — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.