Alaska 0 — House 2026 Primary

The Alaska 0 — House primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model sees a close race: Republican Nick Begich III edges independent Bill Hill, 48% to 39% in a 9-candidate field. Nick Begich III is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Nick Begich III (incumbent) — 48%
2. Bill Hill — 39%
3. James C. "Jim" McDermott — 2%
4. Lady Donna Dutchess — 2%
5. Bronco Williams — 2%
6. David R. Ambrose II — 2%
7. Matt Schultz — 2%
8. Eric Hafner — 2%

+1 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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