Alaska 0 — House 2026 Primary
The Alaska 0 — House primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model has independent Bill Hill narrowly ahead of Democrat Matt Schultz, 50% to 28% in a 10-candidate field. Bill Hill leads the field in reported fundraising and incumbent Nick Begich III trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bill Hill — 50%
- Matt Schultz — 28%
- Nick Begich III (incumbent) — 3%
- James C. "Jim" McDermott — 3%
- Lady Donna Dutchess — 3%
- Bronco Williams — 3%
- David R. Ambrose II — 3%
- Gavin Solomon — 3%
+2 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.