Alaska Governor 2026 General Election
The Alaska Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Tom Begich the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 20% in a 4-candidate field. Tom Begich leads the field in reported fundraising and Bernadette Wilson has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tom Begich — 80%
- Bernadette Wilson — 20%
- Dave Bronson — 0%
- Matt Claman — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.