Arizona Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kyrsten Sinema a 46% chance of winning the Arizona Senate 2018 primary. Kyrsten Sinema won, matching the model's top pick.
- Kyrsten Sinema — 46% model odds (won)
- Martha Mcsally — 37% model odds
- Angela Green — 17% model odds
- Barry Hess — 0% model odds
- Jonathan Ringham B — 0% model odds
- Michael Decarlo — 0% model odds
- Sheila Bilyeu — 0% model odds
- Robert Kay — 0% model odds