Arizona House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Debbie # Lesko a 95% chance of winning the Arizona House 2018 primary. Debbie # Lesko won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Debbie # Lesko — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Hiral Tipirneni — 5% model odds
  3. Steven Hummel — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts