Arizona House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raúl Grijalva a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2018 primary. Raúl Grijalva won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Raúl Grijalva — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Nicolas "Nick" Pierson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts