Arizona House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Kirkpatrick an 81% chance of winning the Arizona House 2018 primary. Ann Kirkpatrick won, matching the model's top pick.
- Ann Kirkpatrick — 81% model odds (won)
- Lea Marquez Peterson — 19% model odds
- Jordan Flayer — 0% model odds
- Melissa Grable — 0% model odds