Arkansas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce Westerman a 100% chance of winning the Arkansas House 2018 primary. Bruce Westerman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bruce Westerman — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Hayden Catherine Shamel — 0% model odds
  3. Tom Canada — 0% model odds
  4. Susan Ann Martin — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts