Wisconsin Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Johnson a 62% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2016 primary. Ron Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ron Johnson — 62% model odds (won)
2. Russ Feingold — 38% model odds
3. Phillip N. Anderson — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds
5. John Schiess — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts