Wisconsin House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Gallagher an 81% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2016 primary. Mike Gallagher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Gallagher — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Tom Nelson — 19% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds
  4. Wendy Gribben — 0% model odds
  5. Jerry Kobishop — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts