Virginia House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave G. E. "Gerry" Connolly a 100% chance of winning the Virginia House 2016 primary. G. E. "Gerry" Connolly won, matching the model's top pick.

1. G. E. "Gerry" Connolly — 100% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts