Virginia House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom A., Jr. Garrett a 50% chance of winning the Virginia House 2016 primary. Tom A., Jr. Garrett won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom A., Jr. Garrett — 50% model odds (won)
2. Jane D. Dittmar — 50% model odds
3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts