Utah House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Chaffetz a 100% chance of winning the Utah House 2016 primary. Jason Chaffetz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jason Chaffetz — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Stephen P. Tryon — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts