Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd Doggett a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Lloyd Doggett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd Doggett — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Susan Narvaiz — 0% model odds
  3. Rhett Rosenquest Smith — 0% model odds
  4. Scott Trimble — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts