Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Filemon B. Vela an 89% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Filemon B. Vela won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Filemon B. Vela — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Rey, Jr. Gonzalez — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts