Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Carter a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. John Carter won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Carter — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Clark — 0% model odds
  3. Scott J. Ballard — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts