Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kenny E. Marchant a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Kenny E. Marchant won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kenny E. Marchant — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Kevin Mccormick — 31% model odds
  3. Jan Mcdowell — 0% model odds
  4. Mike Kolls — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts