Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Will Hurd a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Will Hurd won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Will Hurd — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Pete P. Gallego — 5% model odds
  3. Ruben S. Corvalan — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts