Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lamar Smith a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Lamar Smith won, matching the model's top pick.
- Lamar Smith — 69% model odds (won)
- Antonio "Tony" Diaz — 31% model odds
- Tom Wakely — 0% model odds
- Mark Loewe — 0% model odds