Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jodey Arrington a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Jodey Arrington won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jodey Arrington — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Lawson — 31% model odds
  3. Troy Bonar — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts