Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicente Gonzalez a 90% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Vicente Gonzalez won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Vicente Gonzalez — 90% model odds (won)
2. Tim Westley — 5% model odds
3. Vanessa S. Tijerina — 5% model odds
4. Ross Lynn Leone — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts