Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mac Thornberry a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Mac Thornberry won, matching the model's top pick.
- Mac Thornberry — 69% model odds (won)
- H.F. "Rusty" Tomlinson — 31% model odds
- Calvin Deweese — 0% model odds