Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kay Granger a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Kay Granger won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kay Granger — 95% model odds (won)
2. Bill Bradshaw — 5% model odds
3. Ed Colliver — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts