Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Culberson a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. John Culberson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Culberson — 100% model odds (won)
  2. James Cargas — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts