Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Barton a 64% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Joe Barton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Barton — 64% model odds (won)
  2. Darrel, Jr. Smith — 36% model odds
  3. Ruby Faye Woolridge — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts