Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sam Johnson a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Sam Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sam Johnson — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Blair — 31% model odds
  3. Adam P. Bell — 0% model odds
  4. Scott Jameson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts