Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ted Poe a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Ted Poe won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ted Poe — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Joshua Darr — 31% model odds
  3. Pat Bryan — 0% model odds
  4. James B. Veasaw — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts