Tennessee House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marsha Blackburn an 89% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2016 primary. Marsha Blackburn won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Marsha Blackburn — 89% model odds (won)
2. Tharon Chandler — 11% model odds
3. Leonard D. Ladner — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts