South Carolina Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Scott a 100% chance of winning the South Carolina Senate 2016 primary. Tim Scott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tim Scott — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Thomas Dixon — 0% model odds
  3. Thomas Dixon — 0% model odds
  4. Thomas Dixon — 0% model odds
  5. Bill Bledsoe — 0% model odds
  6. Bill Bledsoe — 0% model odds
  7. Rebel Michael Scarborough — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts