South Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mick Mulvaney a 100% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2016 primary. Mick Mulvaney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mick Mulvaney — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Fran Person — 0% model odds
  3. Rudy, Jr. Barnes — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts