South Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Sanford a 90% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2016 primary. Mark Sanford won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Sanford — 90% model odds (won)
  2. Dimitri Cherny — 10% model odds
  3. Dimitri Cherny — 0% model odds
  4. Dimitri Cherny — 0% model odds
  5. Albert Travison — 0% model odds
  6. Michael, Jr. Grier — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts