Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd K. Smucker an 89% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Lloyd K. Smucker won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd K. Smucker — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Christina Hartman — 11% model odds
  3. Shawn Patrick House — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts