Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Doyle an 80% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Mike Doyle won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Doyle — 80% model odds (won)
2. Lenny Mcallister — 20% model odds
3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts