Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Shuster an 82% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Bill Shuster won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bill Shuster — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Adam Sedlock — 18% model odds
  3. Art Halvorson — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts