Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Fitzpatrick a 56% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Brian Fitzpatrick won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Fitzpatrick — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Steve Santarsiero — 44% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts