Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ryan Costello a 67% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Ryan Costello won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ryan Costello — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Parrish — 33% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts