Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dwight Evans a 34% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Dwight Evans won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dwight Evans — 34% model odds (won)
2. Dwight Evans — 34% model odds
3. James A. Jones — 16% model odds
4. James A. Jones — 16% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts