Oregon Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Wyden a 53% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2016 primary. Ron Wyden won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ron Wyden — 53% model odds (won)
  2. Eric Navickas — 47% model odds
  3. Mark Callahan — 0% model odds
  4. Steven C. Reynolds — 0% model odds
  5. Shanti S. Lewallen — 0% model odds
  6. Jim Lindsay — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts