New York Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Charles E. Schumer a 50% chance of winning the New York Senate 2016 primary. Charles E. Schumer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Charles E. Schumer — 50% model odds (won)
2. Charles E. Schumer — 50% model odds
3. Charles E. Schumer — 0% model odds
4. Charles E. Schumer — 0% model odds
5. Wendy Long — 0% model odds
6. Wendy Long — 0% model odds
7. Wendy Long — 0% model odds
8. Robin Laverne Wilson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts