New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Louise M. Slaughter a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Louise M. Slaughter won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Louise M. Slaughter — 100% model odds (won)
2. Louise M. Slaughter — 0% model odds
3. Louise M. Slaughter — 0% model odds
4. Mark W. Assini — 0% model odds
5. Mark W. Assini — 0% model odds
6. Mark W. Assini — 0% model odds
7. Mark W. Assini — 0% model odds
8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts