New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas W., Ii Reed a 33% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Thomas W., Ii Reed won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 33% model odds (won)
2. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 33% model odds
3. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 33% model odds
4. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 0% model odds
5. John F. Plumb — 0% model odds
6. John F. Plumb — 0% model odds
7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts