New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Claudia Tenney a 32% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Claudia Tenney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Claudia Tenney — 32% model odds (won)
2. Claudia Tenney — 32% model odds
3. Martin Babinec — 32% model odds
4. Kim A. Myers — 4% model odds
5. Kim A. Myers — 0% model odds
6. Martin Babinec — 0% model odds
7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts