New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elise M. Stefanik a 33% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Elise M. Stefanik won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elise M. Stefanik — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Elise M. Stefanik — 33% model odds
  3. Elise M. Stefanik — 33% model odds
  4. Elise M. Stefanik — 0% model odds
  5. Mike Derrick — 0% model odds
  6. Mike Derrick — 0% model odds
  7. Matthew J. Funiciello — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts