New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John J. Faso a 24% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. John J. Faso won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John J. Faso — 24% model odds (won)
2. John J. Faso — 24% model odds
3. John J. Faso — 24% model odds
4. John J. Faso — 14% model odds
5. Zephyr Teachout — 14% model odds
6. Zephyr Teachout — 0% model odds
7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts